THE SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS
Economics studies the production, distribution and consumption of
goods in conditions of scarcity. Laissez-faire captialism or pure
capitalism is the complete separation of economy and state. Rather
than a centralized government authority, such as the Federal Reserve
Board, the Department of the Treasury, The Department of Labor and
so on making decisions, it is left in the hand of individuals.
Individuals choose which businesses they will patronize, how much
they will work for and under what conditions, how and if they will
save and invest and so on. Government neither levies special taxes
or gives special subsidies or tax breaks to companies, picking
winners and losers. It's all in he hands of consumers. People are
free to form unions, but membership is not compulsory. This system,
better described as the lack of a system, has the benefit of
employees having to do their very best to compete against other
employees, resulting in a productive work force. Companies must
offer the highest quality at the lowest price with the widest
selection and best service in order to compete against other
companies, so economic production is high and efficient. The
decisions of millions of individuals (what Adam Smith called "the
invisible hand of the marketplace) create conditions of generalized
prosperity. This is why countries with free market economic systems
prosper. Because a highly skilled and educated work force is
required, and such people are not easily commanded or controlled,
there tends to be a high degree of personal freedom in such places.
Socialism is a system of centralized government control of
economics. The government decides what is to be produced, in what
manner and by whom. It may outright own the means of production or
it may exercise its control through regulating, subsidizing and
taxing private industry. The problem with socialism, Market Thatcher
once quipped, is that "eventually, you run out of other peoples'
money. That is what has occurring in Europe in the sovereign debt
crisis. A deficit is a shortfall between revenue and expenses. When
you run deficits every year, the total amount of this (the total
owed) is the debt. The debt of a country is sovereign debt. Europe's
socialistic economies are huge welfare state bureaucracy are
failing. The forces are an aging population, with people living
longer through innovations in modern medicine, and time. Most of
these systems fund the retirement and medical care of the old
through taxing the wages of the young. But when medical costs go up
and the number of young workers go down, the system collapses. Such
systems are often referred to as pyramid or ponzi schemes. Providing
something to older investors relies on a steady stream of new
investors. As soon as the new investors dry up, the old investors
can't be paid and the system collapses. A similar thing is going on
in Europe and with our own social security and medicare systems,
established under the Roosevelt and Johnson Administrations. When
Social Security was first established, there were 40 workers for
every retiree. An average of 40 people funding the retirement of 1
is a workable system (though a person might still disagree with it
on the grounds that people should save for their own retirement and
that this amounts to socialistic redistribution of wealth). But when
it was established, people would die on average within a few years
of retiring. Because of an aging population, now there are only
three workers for every retiree. So even though the inevitable can
be staved off for a while by raising the retirement age or the
amount people receive or raising the cap (currently only the first
$100k or so of income is taxed), this doesn't solve the underlying
structural problem. Because Europe had a lower birth rate and thus
an older population, the problem is hitting there first, but with
social security and medicare together making up the biggest item in
the Federal Budget, unless something is done, we will face the same
crisis Europe is facing.
To whom are sovereign debts owed? Other countries and individual
investors who buy Treasury Bills. What happens when countries or
investors don't think they will be paid because the debt is becoming
so large? Interest rates go up - way up. And when that happens,
servicing the debt becomes impossible and a crisis occurs. Countries
essentially go into a state of bankruptcy. Emergency loans are
given, new deals are cut, and drastic cuts to basic services become
necessary. The domestic economy goes into shambles. With a 16.7
trillion dollar debt and deficits still around a trillion dollars
every year, can the U.S. be far behind Europe?